Match preview
Switzerland are clear favourites on ratings, with the model at 56%. Only a poor recent run (three-from-five) gives Algeria a way in.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Switzerland are favourites (56%)
- Switzerland carry the higher Elo rating (+156 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Switzerland won 3 of their last five (3W 1D 1L)
- Algeria mixed recent form (2W 1D 2L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 56% / 19% / 25% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Switzerland are expected to control possession and territory, while Algeria will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks. An early Switzerland goal would force Algeria to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Switzerland 1.8 · Algeria 0.8
Quick stats
Switzerland — last 5
- L@ Argentina1–3
- Dv Colombia0–0
- Wv Algeria2–0
- Wv Canada2–1
- Wv Bosnia & Herzegovina4–1
Algeria — last 5
- L@ Switzerland0–2
- Dv Austria3–3
- W@ Jordan2–1
- L@ Argentina0–3
- W@ Bolivia4–0
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1G. Kobel G
- 6D. Zakaria M
- 4N. Elvedi D
- 5M. Akanji D
- 13R. Rodriguez D
- 8R. Freuler M
- 10G. Xhaka M
- 11D. Ndoye F
- 9J. Manzambi M
- 17R. Vargas F
- 7B. Embolo F
- 23L. Zidane G
- 17R. Belghali D
- 2A. Mandi D
- 21R. Bensebaini D
- 15R. Ait-Nouri D
- 8H. Aouar M
- 19N. Bentaleb M
- 7R. Mahrez F
- 6R. Zerrouki M
- 10F. Chaibi M
- 22I. Maza M
Key matchups
Switzerland's focal point in attack against the heart of Algeria's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Algeria's main outlet — how Switzerland's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.