Match preview
Switzerland are clear favourites on ratings, with the model at 56%. Only a poor recent run (four-from-five) gives Algeria a way in.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Switzerland are favourites (56%)
- Switzerland carry the higher Elo rating (+125 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Switzerland unbeaten and winning in their last five (3W 2D)
- Algeria mixed recent form (2W 1D 2L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 56% / 19% / 25% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Switzerland are expected to control possession and territory, while Algeria will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks. An early Switzerland goal would force Algeria to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Switzerland 1.8 · Algeria 0.8
Quick stats
Switzerland — last 5
- Wv Algeria1–0
- Wv Canada2–1
- Wv Bosnia & Herzegovina4–1
- D@ Qatar1–1
- Dv Australia1–1
Algeria — last 5
- L@ Switzerland0–1
- Dv Austria3–3
- W@ Jordan2–1
- L@ Argentina0–3
- W@ Bolivia4–0
Head to head
No recent meetings on record between these sides.
Confirmed lineups
- 1Gregor Kobel G
- 6Denis Zakaria D
- 4Nico Elvedi D
- 5Manuel Akanji D
- 13Ricardo Rodríguez D
- 8Remo Freuler M
- 10Granit Xhaka M
- 11Dan Ndoye M
- 9Johan Manzambi M
- 17Rubén Vargas M
- 7Breel Embolo F
- 23Luca Zidane G
- 17Rafik Belghali D
- 2Aïssa Mandi D
- 21Ramy Bensebaini D
- 15Rayan Aït-Nouri D
- 6Ramiz Zerrouki M
- 19Nabil Bentaleb M
- 8Houssem Aouar M
- 7Riyad Mahrez F
- 22Ibrahim Maza F
- 10Farès Chaïbi F
Key matchups
Switzerland's focal point in attack against the heart of Algeria's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Algeria's main outlet — how Switzerland's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.