Match preview
Norway the better side on paper but Ivory Coast's recent run keeps this competitive.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Ivory Coast are favourites (39%)
- Norway carry the higher Elo rating (115 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Ivory Coast won 3 of their last five (3W 2L)
- Norway mixed recent form (1W 4L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 39% / 24% / 37% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Ivory Coast should shade possession but the gap is small enough that midfield control will decide territory. With little between the sides on ratings, a set piece or an individual moment is the most likely difference — expect a competitive game where the first goal heavily shapes what follows.
Expected goals: Ivory Coast 1.3 · Norway 1.3
Quick stats
Ivory Coast — last 5
- Lv Cameroon0–1
- W@ Somalia2–0
- Wv Ghana2–0
- Lv Norway1–2
- W@ Curaçao2–0
Norway — last 5
- L@ Portugal1–2
- L@ Wales1–2
- Lv Portugal1–2
- Wv Denmark3–2
- Lv England1–2
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1Y. Fofana G
- 17G. Doue D
- 7O. Kossounou D
- 20E. Agbadou D
- 3G. Konan D
- 18I. Sangare M
- 19N. Pepe M
- 8F. Kessie M
- 26C. Inao Oulai M
- 11Y. Diomande M
- 9A. Bonny F
- 1O. Nyland G
- 16M. Pedersen D
- 3K. Ajer D
- 17T. Heggem D
- 5D. Wolfe D
- 10M. Odegaard M
- 8S. Berge M
- 6P. Berg M
- 7A. Sorloth F
- 9E. Haaland F
- 20A. Nusa F
Key matchups
Ivory Coast's focal point in attack against the heart of Norway's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Norway's main outlet — how Ivory Coast's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.