Match preview
Congo DR are favourites on ratings but Uzbekistan have been the in-form side. Closer than the badges suggest.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Congo DR are favourites (49%)
- Congo DR carry the higher Elo rating (+95 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Congo DR mixed recent form (2W 1D 2L)
- Uzbekistan mixed recent form (2W 3L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 49% / 21% / 30% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Congo DR should shade possession but the gap is small enough that midfield control will decide territory. With little between the sides on ratings, a set piece or an individual moment is the most likely difference — expect a competitive game where the first goal heavily shapes what follows.
Expected goals: Congo DR 1.6 · Uzbekistan 1
Quick stats
Congo DR — last 5
- D@ Uganda1–1
- Lv Uganda0–2
- W@ Zimbabwe2–1
- Wv Equatorial Guinea2–0
- L@ England1–2
Uzbekistan — last 5
- L@ South Korea0–2
- Wv Syria4–1
- Wv Iran3–1
- L@ Congo DR1–3
- L@ Portugal0–5
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1L. Mpasi-Nzau G
- 2A. Wan-Bissaka D
- 22C. Mbemba D
- 4A. Tuanzebe D
- 26A. Masuaku D
- 7N. Mbuku M
- 8S. Moutoussamy M
- 14N. Sadiki M
- 9B. Cipenga M
- 17C. Bakambu F
- 20Y. Wissa F
- 12A. Nematov G
- 5R. Ashurmatov D
- 2A. Khusanov D
- 26J. Urozov D
- 3K. Alizhonov M
- 6A. Mozgovoy M
- 7O. Shukurov M
- 13S. Nasrullaev M
- 17D. Khamdamov F
- 22A. Fayzullaev F
- 14E. Shomurodov F
Key matchups
Congo DR's focal point in attack against the heart of Uzbekistan's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Uzbekistan's main outlet — how Congo DR's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.