Match preview
Bosnia & Herzegovina are favourites on ratings but Qatar have been the in-form side. Closer than the badges suggest.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Bosnia & Herzegovina are favourites (46%)
- Bosnia & Herzegovina carry the higher Elo rating (+82 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Bosnia & Herzegovina mixed recent form (2W 2D 1L)
- Qatar mixed recent form (2W 2D 1L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 46% / 22% / 32% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Bosnia & Herzegovina should shade possession but the gap is small enough that midfield control will decide territory. With little between the sides on ratings, a set piece or an individual moment is the most likely difference — expect a competitive game where the first goal heavily shapes what follows.
Expected goals: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.5 · Qatar 1.1
Quick stats
Bosnia & Herzegovina — last 5
- Wv Poland1–0
- Dv Sweden1–1
- W@ Romania4–2
- D@ Poland0–0
- L@ USA0–2
Qatar — last 5
- D@ Saudi Arabia0–0
- D@ United Arab Emirates1–1
- W@ Yemen1–0
- Wv Bahrain2–0
- L@ Bosnia & Herzegovina1–3
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1N. Vasilj G
- 24A. Malic D
- 18N. Katic D
- 21S. Radeljic D
- 5S. Kolasinac D
- 20E. Bajraktarevic M
- 13I. Basic M
- 14I. Sunjic M
- 19K. Alajbegovic M
- 10E. Demirovic F
- 11E. Dzeko F
- 1M. Abunada G
- 2Pedro Miguel D
- 16B. Khoukhi D
- 4I. Laye D
- 18S. Al Brake D
- 5J. Gaber M
- 20A. Fathi M
- 12K. Boudiaf M
- 8Edmilson Junior F
- 11A. Afif F
- 10H. Al Haydos F
Key matchups
Bosnia & Herzegovina's focal point in attack against the heart of Qatar's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Qatar's main outlet — how Bosnia & Herzegovina's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.