Match preview
Canada enter as clear favourites on home soil, with the model giving them a 54% chance of victory.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Canada are favourites (54%)
- Canada carry the higher Elo rating (+121 points)
- Host-nation advantage — Canada playing at home
- Canada mixed recent form (2W 2D 1L)
- Bosnia & Herzegovina mixed recent form (1W 3D 1L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 54% / 19% / 27% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Canada are expected to control possession and territory, while Bosnia & Herzegovina will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks. An early Canada goal would force Bosnia & Herzegovina to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Canada 1.7 · Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.9
Quick stats
Canada — last 5
- W@ South Africa1–0
- L@ Switzerland1–2
- Wv Qatar6–0
- Dv Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1
- Dv Rep. Of Ireland1–1
Bosnia & Herzegovina — last 5
- Wv Qatar3–1
- L@ Switzerland1–4
- D@ Canada1–1
- D@ Panama1–1
- Dv FYR Macedonia0–0
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 16M. Crepeau G
- 2A. Johnston D
- 4L. De Fougerolles D
- 13D. Cornelius D
- 22R. Laryea D
- 17T. Buchanan M
- 8I. Kone M
- 7S. Eustaquio M
- 11L. Millar M
- 10J. David F
- 12T. Oluwaseyi F
- 1N. Vasilj G
- 7A. Dedic D
- 18N. Katic D
- 4T. Muharemovic D
- 5S. Kolasinac D
- 20E. Bajraktarevic M
- 6B. Tahirovic M
- 13I. Basic M
- 15A. Memic M
- 10E. Demirovic F
- 25J. Lukic F
Key matchups
Canada's focal point in attack against the heart of Bosnia & Herzegovina's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Bosnia & Herzegovina's main outlet — how Canada's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.