Match preview
Argentina enter as clear favourites, with the model giving them a 76% chance. Jordan likely need an early goal or a red card to turn it.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Argentina are favourites (76%)
- Argentina carry the higher Elo rating (543 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Jordan winless in their last five (2D 3L)
- Argentina won 4 of their last five (4W 1L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 9% / 15% / 76% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Argentina are expected to control possession and territory, while Jordan will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks — a setup their recent results suggest they may struggle to sustain. An early Argentina goal would force Jordan to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Jordan 0.5 · Argentina 2.1
Quick stats
Jordan — last 5
- Dv Venezuela0–0
- Dv Syria1–1
- Lv Argentina1–3
- Lv Algeria1–2
- L@ Austria1–3
Argentina — last 5
- Wv Benin3–0
- Wv Burkina Faso7–0
- Wv Bolivia4–0
- L@ Spain0–1
- W@ England2–1
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1Y. Abulaila G
- 3A. Nasib D
- 5Y. Al Arab D
- 4H. Abu Dahab D
- 23E. Haddad M
- 21N. Al Rashdan M
- 8N. Al Rawabdeh M
- 20M. Abu Taha D
- 24A. Azaizeh F
- 11O. Al Fakhouri F
- 9A. Olwan F
- 23E. Martinez G
- 14E. Palacios M
- 19N. Otamendi D
- 2M. Senesi D
- 3N. Tagliafico D
- 17G. Simeone F
- 18N. Paz M
- 5L. Paredes M
- 11G. Lo Celso M
- 22L. Martinez F
- 9J. Alvarez F
Key matchups
Jordan's focal point in attack against the heart of Argentina's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Argentina's main outlet — how Jordan's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.