Match preview
Algeria enter as clear favourites, with the model giving them a 61% chance. Jordan likely need an early goal or a red card to turn it.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Algeria are favourites (61%)
- Algeria carry the higher Elo rating (134 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Jordan winless in their last five (5L)
- Algeria won 3 of their last five (3W 1D 1L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 22% / 17% / 61% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Algeria are expected to control possession and territory, while Jordan will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks — a setup their recent results suggest they may struggle to sustain. An early Algeria goal would force Jordan to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Jordan 0.7 · Algeria 1.9
Quick stats
Jordan — last 5
- Lv Argentina1–3
- Lv Algeria1–2
- L@ Austria1–3
- L@ Colombia0–2
- L@ Switzerland1–4
Algeria — last 5
- Dv Austria3–3
- W@ Jordan2–1
- L@ Argentina0–3
- W@ Bolivia4–0
- W@ Netherlands1–0
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1Y. Abulaila G
- 3A. Nasib D
- 5Y. Al Arab D
- 4H. Abu Dahab
- 23E. Haddad M
- 21N. Al Rashdan M
- 8N. Al Rawabdeh M
- 20M. Abu Taha M
- 9A. Olwan F
- 13M. Al Mardi F
- 10M. Tamari F
- 23L. Zidane G
- 17R. Belghali D
- 2A. Mandi D
- 21R. Bensebaini D
- 15R. Ait-Nouri D
- 14H. Boudaoui M
- 6R. Zerrouki M
- 7R. Mahrez M
- 22I. Maza M
- 10F. Chaibi M
- 9A. Gouiri F
Key matchups
Jordan's focal point in attack against the heart of Algeria's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Algeria's main outlet — how Jordan's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.