Match preview
Ghana are clear favourites on ratings, with the model at 54%. Only a poor recent run (mixed) gives Panama a way in.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Ghana are favourites (54%)
- Ghana carry the higher Elo rating (+134 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Panama mixed recent form (1W 1D 3L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 54% / 19% / 27% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Ghana are expected to control possession and territory, while Panama will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks — a setup their recent results suggest they may struggle to sustain. An early Ghana goal would force Panama to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Ghana 1.7 · Panama 0.9
Quick stats
Ghana — last 5
No recent data yet.
Panama — last 5
- Lv England0–2
- Lv Croatia0–1
- L@ Ghana0–1
- Dv Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1
- Wv Dominican Republic4–2
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1L. Ati Zigi G
- 26M. Senaya D
- 4J. Adjetey D
- 18J. Opoku D
- 14G. Mensah D
- 24E. Nuamah M
- 3C. Yirenkyi M
- 15E. Owusu M
- 11A. Semenyo M
- 22K. Sulemana F
- 9J. Ayew F
- 22O. Mosquera G
- 13J. Ramos D
- 3J. Cordoba D
- 16A. Andrade D
- 23M. Murillo M
- 14C. Harvey M
- 11Y. Barcenas M
- 2C. Blackman M
- 6C. Martinez
- 18C. Waterman F
- 7J. Rodriguez F
Key matchups
Ghana's focal point in attack against the heart of Panama's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Panama's main outlet — how Ghana's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.