Match preview
Austria are clear favourites on ratings, with the model at 66%. Only a poor recent run (mixed) gives Jordan a way in.
Decimal fair odds from the model probabilities before bookmaker margin.
Why Austria are favourites (66%)
- Austria carry the higher Elo rating (+174 points)
- Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
- Austria mixed recent form (2W 1D 1L)
- Jordan winless in their last five (5L)
- Head-to-head treated as neutral — too few recent meetings to weigh (10% of the blend)
These factors combine to produce the 66% / 15% / 19% verdict above.
Expected match pattern
Austria are expected to control possession and territory, while Jordan will likely rely on defensive organisation and counter-attacks — a setup their recent results suggest they may struggle to sustain. An early Austria goal would force Jordan to open up, raising the chance of a multi-goal result; the longer it stays level, the more pressure shifts onto the favourites.
Expected goals: Austria 2 · Jordan 0.6
Quick stats
Austria — last 5
- D@ Algeria3–3
- L@ Argentina0–2
- Wv Jordan3–1
- Dv Guatemala?–?
- Wv Tunisia1–0
Jordan — last 5
- Lv Argentina1–3
- Lv Algeria1–2
- L@ Austria1–3
- L@ Colombia0–2
- L@ Switzerland1–4
Head to head
Confirmed lineups
- 1A. Schlager G
- 5S. Posch D
- 15P. Lienhart D
- 8D. Alaba D
- 16P. Mwene D
- 6N. Seiwald M
- 4X. Schlager M
- 18R. Schmid M
- 20K. Laimer M
- 9M. Sabitzer M
- 14S. Kalajdzic F
- 1Y. Abulaila G
- 3A. Nasib D
- 5Y. Al Arab D
- 16M. Abualnadi D
- 23E. Haddad M
- 21N. Al Rashdan M
- 8N. Al Rawabdeh M
- 20M. Abu Taha M
- 11O. Al Fakhouri
- 9A. Olwan F
- 10M. Tamari F
Key matchups
Austria's focal point in attack against the heart of Jordan's defence.
The central-midfield battle most likely to decide who controls possession and territory.
Jordan's main outlet — how Austria's central defence handles him shapes the counter-attack threat.
Predictions are model output, not betting advice. The model blends an Elo rating, last-5 form and host advantage; ratings update after every tournament result, and fair odds and likely scorelines are derived from the same blend. Bet responsibly — 18+. See PuntHub for verified tipster services.