Free horse racing tips — Sunday, 11 October 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

1 won · 0 lost from 1 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:20	Naas	Film Set	3.25	Won (horse beaten)

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
14:22	Goodwood	Brynmair Gold	2.74	Void
15:22	Cork	Minella Emperor	2.26	Void
16:22	Chepstow	Norn Iron	3.90	Void

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

0 won · 4 lost · 2 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
14:02	Chepstow	Kates Choice	7	32.00	Lost
14:12	Cork	Boomerang Breeze	6	13.50	Void
14:47	Cork	Ruled By The Sun	7	6.20	Void
15:12	Chepstow	Bound For Glory	7	6.20	Lost
15:47	Chepstow	Time To Bite	6	29.12	Lost
16:15	Naas	Putapoundinthejar	6	13.13	Lost

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

2 won · 2 lost · 1 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:27	Chepstow	Princess Day	2.04	Won (horse beaten)
13:37	Cork	Atomic City	3.00	Lost (horse won)
15:22	Cork	Minella Emperor	2.26	Lost (horse won)
16:22	Chepstow	Norn Iron	3.90	Void
17:07	Cork	Passenger	2.10	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

1 won · 0 lost from 1 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
16:57	Chepstow	Onetingfornuttin	4.50	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

1 won · 0 lost from 1 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
16:57	Chepstow	Onetingfornuttin	4.50	Won (horse beaten)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org