Free horse racing tips — Saturday, 10 October 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

1 won · 2 lost · 3 void from 3 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:15	Newmarket	The Lost King	2.96	Won (horse beaten)
14:50	Naas	Pink Venom	2.58	Lost (horse won)
15:50	Fairyhouse	Ash Hobbs	3.50	Lost (horse won)
17:07	York	Pearl Eye	6.20	Void
18:30	Southwell	Bibendum	6.60	Void
20:30	Southwell	Flightofthephoenix	5.60	Void

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:35	Chepstow	Tokyo Tower	3.00	Void
14:20	Hexham	Bogha Baiste	4.20	Void
14:50	Naas	Equus Victor	3.45	Void
16:08	Naas	Keke	4.80	Void
16:08	Naas	Bounty	4.40	Void
16:10	Southwell	Beaming Light	6.60	Void
16:25	Fairyhouse	No Looking Back	7.00	Void
16:35	Chepstow	Faded Fantasy	6.00	Void
16:40	Naas	Red Dahlia	4.60	Void
16:40	Naas	Sing Hallelujah	3.95	Void
16:55	Hexham	Loulou Madrik	4.60	Void
17:00	Fairyhouse	Scary Askari	5.70	Void
17:15	Naas	Key Witness	4.40	Void
19:00	Southwell	Willolarupi	4.70	Void
19:30	Southwell	Brazilian Belle	5.20	Void
20:30	Southwell	Lilly Lux	7.00	Void
20:30	Southwell	Bondi	6.20	Void

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

0 won · 8 lost · 3 void from 8 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
14:05	York	Stoneacre Donny	6	7.20	Lost
14:40	York	Dwindling Funds	6	14.17	Lost
15:10	Fairyhouse	Sphagnum	6	33.02	Lost
16:10	Southwell	Green Icon	6	6.60	Lost
16:25	Fairyhouse	Kilt	6	9.19	Lost
16:40	Naas	Saoirses Choice	6	7.20	Void
16:45	Southwell	Auburn Avenue	6	38.00	Lost
17:00	Fairyhouse	Champagne Dawn	8	13.00	Lost
17:07	York	Advance Twentyfive	6	18.00	Void
17:20	Southwell	Lets Give It A Go	6	7.00	Void
20:30	Southwell	A Daughters Love	7	80.00	Lost

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

11 won · 2 lost · 4 void from 13 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:35	Chepstow	Tokyo Tower	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
13:40	Naas	Selosse	3.95	Won (horse beaten)
13:43	Hexham	Finisk Pride	1.97	Lost (horse won)
14:15	Naas	Ridersinthesky	4.00	Void
14:20	Hexham	Dark Tide Rising	2.00	Won (horse beaten)
14:50	Naas	Lars Soldier	3.45	Won (horse beaten)
15:22	Chepstow	Jammy Jay	3.90	Won (horse beaten)
15:45	Hexham	Passing Diamond	2.22	Lost (horse won)
16:20	Hexham	Athair Mor	3.95	Won (horse beaten)
16:25	Fairyhouse	Kilt	3.85	Won (horse beaten)
16:40	Naas	Sing Hallelujah	3.95	Won (horse beaten)
16:45	Southwell	Chilly Breeze	3.80	Void
17:10	Chepstow	Milly Ocean	3.75	Won (horse beaten)
17:15	Naas	Oro Blanco	3.40	Won (horse beaten)
17:35	Fairyhouse	Miss Kobe	2.64	Void
17:55	Southwell	Arabian Summer	2.86	Won (horse beaten)
20:30	Southwell	John T	3.25	Void

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

5 won · 3 lost · 7 void from 8 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:35	Chepstow	Sacre Chef	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
13:43	Hexham	Northern Milan	4.90	Won (horse beaten)
13:50	Newmarket	Drumbeat	1.92	Lost (horse won)
14:15	Naas	Tai Foo	4.50	Void
15:05	Hexham	Medieval Gold	4.70	Lost (horse won)
15:22	Chepstow	Jammy Jay	3.90	Won (horse beaten)
15:50	Fairyhouse	The Hidden Kingdom	2.88	Void
15:57	York	National Anthem	3.85	Void
16:08	Naas	Bay Of Supremacy	4.70	Void
16:15	Newmarket	Probing	5.00	Won (horse beaten)
16:45	Southwell	Izzari	3.80	Lost (horse won)
17:20	Southwell	Marrwaa	3.40	Won (horse beaten)
17:35	Fairyhouse	Miss Kobe	2.64	Void
20:00	Southwell	Knightsail	3.90	Void
20:30	Southwell	John T	3.25	Void

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

4 won · 3 lost · 2 void from 7 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:35	Chepstow	Sacre Chef	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
13:43	Hexham	Northern Milan	4.90	Won (horse beaten)
13:50	Newmarket	Drumbeat	1.92	Lost (horse won)
15:05	Hexham	Medieval Gold	4.70	Lost (horse won)
15:50	Fairyhouse	Marie D'Angos	3.05	Void
15:57	York	National Anthem	3.85	Void
16:15	Newmarket	Probing	5.00	Won (horse beaten)
16:45	Southwell	Izzari	3.80	Lost (horse won)
17:20	Southwell	Marrwaa	3.40	Won (horse beaten)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org