Free horse racing tips — Friday, 9 October 2026
Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.
FormBreaker — Cold Trainer
Lay · win marketEstablishedLays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.
1 won · 0 lost · 2 void from 1 settled
| Time | Course | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:58 | Downpatrick | Young Doran | 3.85 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 16:30 | Downpatrick | Ersudaly | 5.50 | Void |
| 17:25 | Dundalk | Tio Joao | 5.10 | Void |
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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral
Back · win marketProvisionalBacks a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.
| Time | Course | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:23 | Downpatrick | Pahlavi | 6.00 | Void |
| 15:23 | Downpatrick | Centaq | 4.50 | Void |
| 15:58 | Downpatrick | Young Doran | 3.85 | Void |
| 16:30 | Downpatrick | Youknowme | 7.00 | Void |
| 17:15 | Kempton | Arvana Belle | 4.70 | Void |
| 18:45 | Kempton | A La Noche | 6.20 | Void |
| 18:45 | Kempton | Havana Touch | 2.52 | Void |
| 19:15 | Kempton | Gunfighter | 2.96 | Void |
| 19:45 | Kempton | Meet Me In Meraki | 5.50 | Void |
| 20:15 | Kempton | Red Hat Eagle | 4.80 | Void |
| 20:15 | Kempton | Zero Carbon | 4.90 | Void |
| 20:15 | Kempton | Strong Voice | 3.45 | Void |
Six Factor Racing
Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisionalBacks one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.
0 won · 4 lost · 4 void from 4 settled
| Time | Course | Selection | Factors | BSP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:13 | Downpatrick | Lone Ash Lad | 6 | 16.00 | Void |
| 15:23 | Downpatrick | Tommy Go Maith | 8 | 15.50 | Void |
| 16:50 | Dundalk | Lady's Court | 6 | 17.50 | Lost |
| 17:00 | York | Kennington | 6 | 20.00 | Void |
| 18:00 | Dundalk | Rappell | 6 | 9.11 | Lost |
| 18:30 | Dundalk | Albion Power | 6 | 52.00 | Lost |
| 19:00 | Dundalk | Booyea | 8 | 15.00 | Void |
| 19:15 | Kempton | Cancan In The Rain | 6 | 12.50 | Lost |
HMS — Cold Jockey
Lay · win marketEstablishedHMS is short for Handicap Market Support.
Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.
7 won · 2 lost · 1 void from 9 settled
| Time | Course | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:22 | Chepstow | King's Scholar | 3.50 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 14:05 | York | Regency Royal | 3.80 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 14:32 | Chepstow | Seven Kites | 3.20 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 14:48 | Downpatrick | Facile Ocean | 2.84 | Lost (horse won) |
| 15:43 | Chepstow | Cosmic Connection | 2.42 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 16:38 | Kempton | Laylaty | 3.80 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 16:50 | Dundalk | Sake Nights | 3.95 | Void |
| 17:25 | Dundalk | Mirren | 3.95 | Won (horse beaten) |
| 19:45 | Kempton | Star Time | 3.65 | Lost (horse won) |
| 20:15 | Kempton | Strong Voice | 3.45 | Won (horse beaten) |
HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)
Lay · win marketProvisionalLays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.
1 won · 1 lost · 1 void from 2 settled
| Time | Course | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:32 | Chepstow | Locker Boum | 4.20 | Lost (horse won) |
| 16:50 | Dundalk | Sake Nights | 3.95 | Void |
| 19:45 | Kempton | Mountbatten | 4.90 | Won (horse beaten) |
HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)
Lay · win marketProvisionalThe stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.
1 won · 1 lost from 2 settled
| Time | Course | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:32 | Chepstow | Locker Boum | 4.20 | Lost (horse won) |
| 19:45 | Kempton | Mountbatten | 4.90 | Won (horse beaten) |
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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org