Free horse racing tips — Monday, 5 October 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

2 won · 3 lost from 5 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:55	Fairyhouse	Myluckymaker	2.22	Lost (horse won)
17:00	Wolverhampton	Dreams Galore	3.55	Lost (horse won)
17:45	Kempton	Extraterrestrial	4.40	Lost (horse won)
18:15	Kempton	Moving Force	5.70	Won (horse beaten)
19:00	Wolverhampton	Faeberon	4.10	Won (horse beaten)

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:15	Yarmouth	Arnaz	4.90	Void
13:35	Killarney	Palina	5.30	Void
13:55	Fairyhouse	Myluckymaker	2.22	Void
14:10	Killarney	Ocean Echo	5.80	Void
14:30	Fairyhouse	Little An Often	7.00	Void
15:20	Killarney	Shaihaan	5.40	Void
15:40	Fairyhouse	Born Believing	3.35	Void
15:55	Killarney	Sunburn	5.20	Void
16:15	Fairyhouse	Its Time For A Run	6.00	Void
16:15	Fairyhouse	Risen Tide	7.00	Void
16:30	Killarney	Cascade Canyon	5.30	Void
16:50	Fairyhouse	Technology	5.30	Void
16:50	Fairyhouse	Broken Ice	6.00	Void
16:50	Fairyhouse	Sights Unseen	5.70	Void
16:56	Pontefract	Further Measure	4.60	Void
17:25	Fairyhouse	Vision De Maine	4.60	Void
18:15	Kempton	Moving Force	5.70	Void
18:15	Kempton	Star Chorus	6.20	Void
18:30	Wolverhampton	Apex Star	2.82	Void
19:00	Wolverhampton	Canvas	7.00	Void

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

0 won · 4 lost · 3 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
13:00	Killarney	Silk Twist	6	7.20	Void
14:10	Killarney	Star Strewn	6	11.00	Void
16:30	Killarney	Cascade Canyon	7	18.00	Lost
16:50	Fairyhouse	Tippinaway	8	19.00	Lost
17:25	Fairyhouse	Magic Hands Noel	7	5.00	Void
19:00	Wolverhampton	Cotswold Cottage	6	50.00	Lost
20:30	Wolverhampton	Dublin Bay	6	11.50	Lost

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

5 won · 3 lost from 8 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:55	Fairyhouse	Lilannbee	2.48	Won (horse beaten)
16:00	Stratford	Expert Analysis	2.68	Won (horse beaten)
16:45	Kempton	Bofa Beach	3.80	Won (horse beaten)
16:56	Pontefract	Noble Grace	3.25	Lost (horse won)
17:15	Kempton	Pursuit Of Love	3.25	Won (horse beaten)
18:30	Wolverhampton	Apex Star	2.82	Won (horse beaten)
19:30	Wolverhampton	Hauteluce	2.16	Lost (horse won)
19:45	Kempton	Ridger	1.66	Lost (horse won)

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

3 won · 1 lost · 2 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:20	Killarney	Action	3.60	Won (horse beaten)
15:35	Yarmouth	Endless Quest	2.02	Lost (horse won)
15:40	Fairyhouse	Leading Rose	3.70	Void
16:00	Stratford	Golly Gosh	4.30	Won (horse beaten)
17:25	Fairyhouse	Magic Hands Noel	5.00	Void
18:45	Kempton	Buccabay	4.10	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

3 won · 1 lost · 1 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:20	Killarney	Action	3.60	Won (horse beaten)
15:35	Yarmouth	Endless Quest	2.02	Lost (horse won)
16:00	Stratford	Golly Gosh	4.30	Won (horse beaten)
17:25	Fairyhouse	Magic Hands Noel	5.00	Void
18:45	Kempton	Buccabay	4.10	Won (horse beaten)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org