Free horse racing tips — Sunday, 4 October 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

0 won · 1 lost from 1 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:55	Killarney	Kilbrin Rocco	4.10	Lost (horse won)

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:26	Uttoxeter	Time In A Bottle	5.90	Void
13:26	Uttoxeter	A Chara	4.70	Void
13:35	Killarney	Astelia	3.05	Void
13:45	Kelso	Fine Thing	2.50	Void
14:36	Uttoxeter	Sytadel	2.46	Void
15:05	Curragh	Iamimmaculate	6.20	Void
15:30	Kelso	Ice Jet	3.40	Void
15:45	Uttoxeter	Berry Edge	4.00	Void
15:55	Killarney	Kilbrin Rocco	4.10	Void
16:20	Uttoxeter	Playful Fox	6.20	Void
16:20	Uttoxeter	Tropical Talent	6.60	Void
16:40	Kelso	Lone Star	6.40	Void

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

0 won · 7 lost · 2 void from 7 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
13:55	Curragh	A Lovely Manoeuvre	6	18.00	Void
14:20	Kelso	Do No Wrong	8	10.00	Lost
14:30	Curragh	Carolina Jetstream	6	10.50	Lost
15:05	Curragh	Lady Lilac	6	9.00	Lost
15:40	Curragh	Pivotal Attack	6	7.40	Lost
16:15	Curragh	Jon Riggens	6	29.00	Lost
16:50	Curragh	Mapa	7	50.00	Lost
17:05	Killarney	Avec Espoir	6	12.50	Void
17:25	Curragh	Loingseoir	6	11.50	Lost

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

4 won · 0 lost · 1 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:45	Kelso	Fine Thing	2.50	Won (horse beaten)
14:01	Uttoxeter	Analogical	2.74	Won (horse beaten)
14:55	Kelso	Luna Grace	2.50	Won (horse beaten)
16:40	Kelso	Theirshegoes	3.50	Void
17:05	Killarney	Kilkee Bay	1.63	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

1 won · 2 lost · 2 void from 3 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
12:51	Uttoxeter	Country Mile	1.29	Lost (horse won)
13:20	Curragh	Sweetly	4.00	Void
13:26	Uttoxeter	Gentle Ocean	2.80	Lost (horse won)
15:15	Uttoxeter	Roger Pol	4.60	Won (horse beaten)
16:40	Kelso	Theirshegoes	3.50	Void

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

0 won · 2 lost · 1 void from 2 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
12:51	Uttoxeter	Country Mile	1.29	Lost (horse won)
13:20	Curragh	Sweetly	4.00	Void
13:26	Uttoxeter	Gentle Ocean	2.80	Lost (horse won)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org