Free horse racing tips — Saturday, 3 October 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

3 won · 1 lost from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:50	Ascot	Tuco Salamanca	3.55	Won (horse beaten)
15:05	Gowran Park	Blood Destiny	2.10	Won (horse beaten)
15:05	Gowran Park	Fleur In The Park	2.64	Lost (horse won)
17:55	Southwell	Cristo	3.90	Won (horse beaten)

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:50	Ascot	Tuco Salamanca	3.55	Void
14:02	Fontwell	Of Corse I Can	3.10	Void
14:37	Fontwell	Down To Business	4.90	Void
14:50	Redcar	Kartini	6.80	Void
15:10	Fontwell	Salkadan	2.02	Void
15:40	Gowran Park	Shadow Paddy	5.00	Void
15:50	Newmarket	Woohoo	5.10	Void
15:55	Redcar	Sondad	4.90	Void
16:25	Fontwell	Diamond Egg	6.00	Void
17:10	Redcar	Northern Brave	6.80	Void

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

1 won · 4 lost from 5 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
14:30	Gowran Park	Better Times	6	10.50	Lost
15:05	Gowran Park	Senecia	6	7.00	Lost
15:40	Gowran Park	D Art D Art	6	25.00	Lost
16:50	Gowran Park	Siege Of Carthage	7	10.50	Lost
19:30	Southwell	New Image	6	3.15	Won

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

6 won · 5 lost from 11 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
12:25	Newmarket	Hoseki	2.96	Lost (horse won)
14:02	Fontwell	Broadway Honey	2.48	Lost (horse won)
14:45	Newmarket	Altius	3.50	Won (horse beaten)
15:10	Fontwell	Our Wee Horse	3.85	Won (horse beaten)
15:15	Newmarket	Mublish	1.89	Won (horse beaten)
15:45	Fontwell	Move With The Beat	3.85	Won (horse beaten)
16:45	Southwell	Captain Cairney	3.15	Won (horse beaten)
17:00	Fontwell	Glance Of Glory	2.78	Lost (horse won)
18:30	Southwell	Dontworryaboutme	2.44	Lost (horse won)
19:30	Southwell	Horace Wallace	3.10	Won (horse beaten)
20:30	Southwell	Blue Tulip	2.50	Lost (horse won)

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

3 won · 0 lost from 3 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:10	Fontwell	Our Wee Horse	3.85	Won (horse beaten)
15:15	Newmarket	Mublish	1.89	Won (horse beaten)
17:00	Fontwell	Aggagio	4.60	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

2 won · 0 lost from 2 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:10	Fontwell	Our Wee Horse	3.85	Won (horse beaten)
15:15	Newmarket	Mublish	1.89	Won (horse beaten)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org