Free horse racing tips — Thursday, 17 September 2026

Every selection published that morning. Results are added once racing has finished.

24
Selections
6
Systems
24
Void
Pending
Status

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

TimeCourseSelectionOdds
16:00AyrSailthisshipalone5.70
16:56NaasStar Glory3.75
18:30SouthwellPeaberry3.50

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

TimeCourseSelectionOdds
14:15YarmouthWhiskey Galore3.60
14:45YarmouthCracking Idea7.00
15:38PontefractDevil's Brigade3.60
15:52NaasNando Royale2.96
16:20SouthwellCrowned5.90
16:50SouthwellInsuspense7.00
16:56NaasCapital Of Pride5.80
18:30SouthwellPeaberry3.50
20:00SouthwellPhoenix Beach6.20

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

TimeCourseSelectionFactorsBSP
16:15YarmouthTai Hang Pegasus615.00

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

TimeCourseSelectionOdds
14:22NaasSalt Lake1.60
15:08PontefractTraveling Man3.95
15:38PontefractRiver Nile2.02
17:08PontefractThunder Goddess3.60
18:30SouthwellDontworryaboutme3.35
20:30SouthwellGolspie3.15

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

TimeCourseSelectionOdds
15:08PontefractSea Lantern3.30
15:38PontefractFan Me4.10
17:32NaasFirst Watch4.80

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

TimeCourseSelectionOdds
15:08PontefractSea Lantern3.30
15:38PontefractFan Me4.10

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org