Free horse racing tips — Friday, 11 September 2026

Every selection published that morning, settled and left on the record — winners and losers alike.

Selections

Systems

Won

Lost

Void

FormBreaker — Cold Trainer

Lay · win marketEstablished

Lays a runner priced 2.0–7.0 with at most one previous run under today's course/distance/sire conditions, whose trainer is at least 24 points down on winners over the last 28 days.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:53	Chester	Alfa Whiteburd	6.60	Pending

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FormBreaker — Trainer Spiral

Back · win marketProvisional

Backs a runner priced 2.0–7.0 whose trainer is at least 13 points down on winners over the last 28 days and has been winning well below expectation over the last 14.

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
14:12	Chester	She's Too Kool	4.30	Pending
15:17	Chester	Baker Blue	5.10	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Matada	7.00	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Point Star	4.60	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Chairmanforlife	7.00	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Neon Eyes	5.10	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Misty Cove	3.45	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	Montevetro	5.20	Pending
15:59	Ballinrobe	Hashtag Doyen	5.60	Pending
15:59	Ballinrobe	Brave Lady	3.65	Pending
16:34	Ballinrobe	Mr Dibbs	5.70	Pending
16:34	Ballinrobe	Arcland	5.20	Pending
17:03	Chester	Sir Griflet	5.70	Pending
19:10	Ballinrobe	Walkineezy	4.70	Pending
19:10	Ballinrobe	Le Grand Retour	3.05	Pending

Six Factor Racing

Back · win market · at Betfair SPProvisional

Backs one runner per race: the horse clearing the most of a set of statistical thresholds spanning trainer, jockey, sire and course splits, priced 2.0–20.0, where at least six must align.

Time	Course	Selection	Factors	BSP	Result
14:47	Chester	Lc Tiffen	7	5.70	Pending
15:59	Ballinrobe	Lunar Majesty	6	5.20	Pending
16:34	Ballinrobe	Free Flow	6	5.80	Pending
17:09	Ballinrobe	Nothing Hectic	8	3.90	Pending
18:10	Ballinrobe	Mistyburn	7	10.00	Pending
18:40	Ballinrobe	Custers Mistake	7	14.50	Pending

HMS — Cold Jockey

Lay · win marketEstablished

HMS is short for Handicap Market Support.

Lays one runner per race: the shortest-priced qualifier that the market rates a top-three chance at 1.1–4.0, whose jockey has struck at under 5% over the past 14 days.

2 won · 0 lost from 2 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
13:15	Doncaster	Rock Montreal	2.82	Pending
13:37	Chester	Bearly Blue	3.30	Pending
14:12	Chester	Lahan Kingman	3.50	Pending
15:24	Ballinrobe	We'Re Out Of Aces	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
15:59	Ballinrobe	Ronnie's Rascal	2.32	Won (horse beaten)
16:10	Doncaster	Victoria Night	2.28	Pending
16:22	Sandown	Christian David	3.70	Pending
16:34	Ballinrobe	Take The Free	2.82	Pending
17:09	Ballinrobe	Camlin Park	1.25	Pending
17:40	Ballinrobe	Straight Home	2.16	Pending
18:28	Salisbury	Gatlinburg	3.70	Pending

HMS — Bottom 25% (RTR)

Lay · win marketProvisional

Lays one runner per race: a horse in the bottom quarter of its field on HorseRaceBase's total rating that the market still rates a top-three chance at 1.1–5.0.

3 won · 1 lost · 1 void from 4 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:10	Sandown	Ghaiyyath Dream	3.90	Won (horse beaten)
15:24	Ballinrobe	We'Re Out Of Aces	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
16:51	Salisbury	The Quiet Gent	3.95	Lost (horse won)
17:58	Salisbury	Lion's Pride	3.90	Void
19:10	Ballinrobe	Le Grand Retour	3.05	Won (horse beaten)

HMS — Bottom 25% (Both)

Lay · win marketProvisional

The stricter form of the same idea — the runner must be a top-three chance on both RatingTheRaces and HorseRaceBase prices, not just one.

2 won · 0 lost · 1 void from 2 settled

Time	Course	Selection	Odds	Result
15:24	Ballinrobe	We'Re Out Of Aces	3.00	Won (horse beaten)
17:58	Salisbury	Lion's Pride	3.90	Void
19:10	Ballinrobe	Le Grand Retour	3.05	Won (horse beaten)

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Selections are information, not betting advice. Past results do not predict future ones. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org