Draws – Back the Draw Tips
Football draw predictions for matches most likely to end level. Simple back betting – works with any bookmaker.
Our back the draw tips service delivers football draw predictions for matches where we believe the draw is underpriced by the market. No trading, no exchanges required. Just place your bet pre-match and wait for the final whistle.
This draw betting system targets the 25-30% of football matches that end in draws. The key is identifying which specific matches offer value – where the odds are higher than the true probability suggests.
Every back the draw tips selection is tracked publicly. You can view the complete history before subscribing.
How Back the Draw Tips Work
Football draw betting is straightforward: you back the draw pre-match at odds typically between 3.0-4.0. If the match ends level, you win. If either team wins, you lose your stake.
Our back the draw strategy identifies matches where:
- Both teams are evenly matched
- Historical head-to-heads show draw tendency
- Tactical setups favour stalemates (defensive teams, low-scoring leagues)
- The draw price offers genuine value
This is the opposite approach to LTD (Lay the Draw) – they want goals to happen, we want them to not happen (or cancel each other out). For more on draw betting theory, see this guide to draw betting strategies.
Understanding Football Draw Predictions
Across major European leagues, approximately 25-30% of matches end in draws. That means draw odds of 3.0-4.0 are often accurate – but not always.
The edge in football draw predictions comes from identifying specific fixtures where the draw probability is higher than the market suggests. A match priced at 3.5 for the draw implies 28.5% probability. If our analysis suggests 35% is more accurate, that's value.
Why draws are undervalued:
- Punters prefer backing teams to win – more exciting
- Media coverage focuses on winners, not stalemates
- Bookmakers shade draw prices knowing they're less popular
Our back the draw tips target these market inefficiencies.
Back the Draw Tips Performance
Verified results from our football draw predictions, pulled directly from the public tracking database. Updated after every match.
Draws
Football Draw Predictions
The most underbet outcome in football. Everyone wants to pick winners – we pick smart and bet the draw. Backed by 5 years of data with 10-15% ROI. Betfair friendly, available standalone or fully automated.
Profit Growth
Results based on £1 level stakes per selection.
View Full Draws Record →Draws vs LTD: Opposite Approaches
It might seem contradictory that we offer both back the draw and lay the draw services. Here's why both can be profitable:
Draws (this service) – Backs the draw at value odds. Wins when matches end level. No trading required, works with any bookmaker.
LTD – Lays the draw, then trades out when goals are scored. Wins when matches have goals. Requires Betfair Exchange for trading.
Different match profiles suit different strategies. A cagey defensive fixture might be a Draws selection. An attacking open game might be an LTD selection. We're not betting against ourselves – we're targeting different match types.
Back the Draw Tips Subscription
Draw tips delivered via Telegram. Works with any bookmaker – no Betfair required.
Football Draws – £25/month
Back the draw selections via Telegram. Works with any bookmaker.
Back the Draw Tips FAQ
What strike rate should I expect?
Draw betting typically hits 25-35% of selections. The odds (usually 3.0-4.0) mean you don't need a high strike rate to profit – just better than the implied probability.
Do I need a Betfair account?
No – not for Draws tips. You can use any bookmaker.
How is this different from LTD?
LTD lays the draw and wants goals. Draws backs the draw and wants stalemates. Completely opposite strategies for different match types.
Which leagues do you cover?
Major European leagues primarily – Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1. Selected lower league matches where data supports value.
How many selections per week?
Varies based on fixtures – more during busy weekends, fewer midweek. Quality over quantity; we only tip when value exists.
Related Football Services
LTD – Lay the Draw
Opposite approach – lay the draw and trade out on goals. Requires Betfair Exchange.
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Simple lay betting on away teams. Win on home win OR draw.
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