The Arkle Chase 2025 at the Cheltenham Festival is the premier two-mile novice chase, producing future champion chasers like Altior, Shishkin, and El Fabiolo. Below, we analyse the key trends, past winners, and top betting selections for this year’s renewal.
📊 Key Trends & Winning Profile
✅ Age Matters: 📅 6-7-year-olds dominate (Edwardstone in 2022 was the only 8-year-old winner in the last 14 years).
✅ Winning Streak: 🏆 14 of the last 15 winners won their previous race.
✅ High Ratings: 📈 15 of the last 17 winners were rated 151+ over fences.
✅ Favourites Shine: ⭐ 10 of the last 13 favourites have won (7 at odds-on).
✅ Top Trainers Rule: 🏇 Willie Mullins (6 wins) and Nicky Henderson (4 wins) have won 10 of the last 13.
✅ Course Experience Counts: ⛰️ 16 of the last 18 winners had previously raced at Cheltenham.
✅ Solid Jumping Form: 🚀 No winner has come off the back of a fall since Moscow Flyer (2002).
✅ Chase Runs: 🔄 16 of the last 20 winners had 3-4 chase runs before Cheltenham.
✅ Jockey Partnership: 🏇 All winners this century had already won a race with their jockey.
✅ Hurdle Ability: 💪 16 of the last 18 winners were rated 142+ over hurdles.
🏇 Recent Winners & Trends Analysis
📅 2025: TBD
📅 2024: Gaelic Warrior (6yo, BHA 157, won Irish Arkle)
📅 2023: El Fabiolo (6yo, BHA 162, unbeaten novice, won Irish Arkle)
📅 2022: Edwardstone (8yo, BHA 159, won Kingmaker Novices’ Chase)
📅 2021: Shishkin (7yo, BHA 164, unbeaten novice, won Wayward Lad Chase)
🔍 Key Trends: The best guide to finding the Arkle winner is the Irish Arkle (Dublin Racing Festival), with winners often dominating this race.
🎯 Expert Verdict: Who to Bet On?
✅ Prioritize 6-7-year-olds with Cheltenham form, a strong jumping record, and trained by Mullins or Henderson.
✅ Avoid horses that fell last time out or have fewer than two chase wins.
🔥 Favourites have a strong record, but watch for improving horses at single-digit odds.
📈 Best Bets for Arkle Chase 2025 – Top Selections
| 🏇 Horse | 📉 Odds | 🎯 Trainer | 🔥 Age | 📊 OR | ⭐ RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majborough | 8/13 | W P Mullins | 5 | – | 171 |
| L’Eau du Sud | 9/2 | Dan Skelton | 7 | 152 | 162 |
| Jango Baie | 9/1 | Nicky Henderson | 6 | 153 | 165 |
🏆 Majborough is the standout contender, unbeaten over fences and fits all key trends.
🔥 L’Eau du Sud is improving, while Jango Baie has Cheltenham-winning connections.
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