The Trustatrader Plate Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival is one of the most competitive handicap chases of the week, run over 2m5f on the New Course. Below, we analyse the key trends, past winners, and top betting selections for this year’s renewal.
📊 Key Trends & Winning Profile
✅ Course Form is Key: 🏇 The last six winners had a course win that season.
✅ Experience Matters: 📉 10 of the last 11 winners had no more than 12 previous chase runs.
✅ No Graded Winners: 🚫 None of the last 16 winners had previously won a Graded conditions race.
✅ Novices & 2nd-Season Chasers Do Well: 🔄 7 of the last 9 winners were novices or second-season chasers.
✅ Festival Debutants Thrive: ⛰️ 6 of the last 9 winners were making their Festival debut.
✅ Recent Runs Count: 📅 19 of the last 21 winners raced within the last 77 days.
✅ Handicap Range Matters: 🔢 The last 11 winners were rated between 140-149.
✅ Winning Form is Crucial: 🏆 The last 10 winners had all won that season.
✅ Front Runners Favoured: 🚀 The last six winners raced prominently or led throughout.
✅ Irish Success: 🇮🇪 5 of the last 9 winners were Irish-trained after a 33-year drought.
🏇 Recent Winners & Trends Analysis
📅 2025: TBD
📅 2024: Shakem Up’Arry (10yo, OR 143, 8/1, B Pauling) – 1st in Cheltenham G3 Handicap Chase (73 days prior)
📅 2023: Seddon (10yo, OR 143, 20/1, J McConnell) – 1st in Leopardstown Handicap Chase (77 days prior)
📅 2022: Coole Cody (11yo, OR 145, 22/1, E Williams) – 7th in Cheltenham G3 Handicap Chase (47 days prior)
📅 2021: The Shunter (8yo, OR 140, 9/4F, E Mullins) – 1st in Kelso Class 2 Hurdle (40 days prior)
📅 2020: Simply The Betts (7yo, OR 149, 100/30F, H Whittington) – 1st in Cheltenham Novices’ Handicap Chase (47 days prior)
🔍 Key Trends:
✅ Novices and second-season chasers dominate.
✅ Course form is vital, with recent Cheltenham winners excelling.
✅ Handicap ratings between 140-149 are the sweet spot.
✅ Winning form is crucial – last 10 winners had already won that season.
✅ Front-runners or prominent racers have a strong record.
🎯 Expert Verdict: Who to Bet On?
✅ Look for well-handicapped novices or second-season chasers.
✅ Irish-trained runners have a strong recent record in this race.
✅ Horses with Cheltenham course form should be prioritised.
✅ Avoid runners who were beaten favourites last time out.
📈 Best Bets for Trustatrader Plate Handicap Chase 2025 – Top Selections
| 🏇 Horse | 📉 Odds | 🎯 Trainer | 🔥 Age | 📊 OR | ⭐ RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagwar | 6/1 | O Greenall & J Guerriero | 6 | 139 | 146 |
| Springwell Bay | 10/1 | J O’Neill | 8 | 154 | 158 |
| Crebilly | 10/1 | J O’Neill | 8 | 138 | 149 |
🔥 Jagwar (O Greenall & J Guerriero) – Progressive novice, unexposed and well-handicapped.
💪 Springwell Bay (J O’Neill) – Proven graded form, will stay well.
🚀 Crebilly (J O’Neill) – Lightly raced chaser, improving with each run.
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