The Queen Mother Champion Chase 2025 at the Cheltenham Festival is the pinnacle of two-mile chases, testing speed, jumping, and tactical racecraft. Recent winners like Energumene, Altior, and Sprinter Sacre have dominated the division, while Irish-trained horses have claimed the last four renewals. Below, we analyze the key trends, past winners, and best bets for this year’s race.
📊 Key Trends & Winning Profile
✅ Cheltenham Form is Essential: 🏇 The last 16 winners had raced at Cheltenham before.
✅ Irish Dominance: 🇮🇪 Irish-trained runners have won the last four renewals.
✅ Winning Form Required: 🏆 Only two winners this century had not won that season.
✅ Recent Run a Must: 📅 No winner since 2000 had failed to run in the calendar year.
✅ Beaten Favourites Struggle: ❌ Only two winners this century had been beaten favourites last time out.
✅ Grade 1 Class: ⭐ 18 of the last 25 placed horses were already Grade 1 winners.
✅ Beware Odds-On Favourites: ❗ 12 odds-on favourites since 2000 – only three won.
✅ Seasonal Runs: 🔄 18 of the last 20 winners had two or three runs that season.
✅ No Headgear: 🚫 No winner has worn blinkers or cheekpieces since at least 1990.
✅ Trainer Hotspots: 🏇 Nicky Henderson (5 wins in 13 years) & Henry de Bromhead (4 wins in 14 years) dominate.
🏇 Recent Winners & Trends Analysis
📅 2025: TBD
📅 2024: Captain Guinness (9yo, BHA 162, 17/2, Henry de Bromhead) – Won after 3rd in Irish G1
📅 2023: Energumene (9yo, BHA 175, 6/5F, Willie Mullins) – Won after 3rd in Clarence House Chase
📅 2022: Energumene (8yo, BHA 175, 5/2, Willie Mullins) – Beat Shishkin in soft ground
📅 2021: Put The Kettle On (7yo, BHA 156, 17/2, Henry de Bromhead) – Only mare to win this race
📅 2020: Politologue (9yo, BHA 165, 6/1, Paul Nicholls) – Won after 5th in Tingle Creek
🔍 Key Trends:
✅ Irish dominance – The last four winners were Irish-trained.
✅ The Clarence House Chase is a key trial – Recent winners have prepped there.
✅ Previous Festival winners perform well – 31 of the last 40 winners had placed at a previous Festival.
🎯 Expert Verdict: Who to Bet On?
✅ Prioritize Irish-trained runners – The last four winners were trained in Ireland.
✅ Look for proven Grade 1 chasers – Most past winners had already won a G1.
✅ Avoid blinkers or cheekpieces – No winner has worn them in over 30 years.
✅ Favourites have a mixed record – Odds-on shots have a poor strike rate.
📈 Best Bets for Queen Mother Champion Chase 2025 – Top Selections
| 🏇 Horse | 📉 Odds | 🎯 Trainer | 🔥 Age | 📊 OR | ⭐ RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonbon | 5/6 | Nicky Henderson | 9 | 170 | 181 |
| Gaelic Warrior | 13/2 | W P Mullins | 7 | – | 176 |
| Il Est Francais | 7/1 | Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm | 7 | – | 177 |
| Energumene | 8/1 | W P Mullins | 11 | – | 174 |
🏆 Jonbon is the clear market leader, having excelled over two miles this season.
🔥 Gaelic Warrior is improving rapidly and has strong course form.
💪 Il Est Francais brings a new challenge from France, adding an intriguing element.
⚡ Energumene is a dual winner but faces a tough task at 11 years old.
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